LAST UPDATE: TUESDAY, 01.08.2019
NEXT UPDATE: TUESDAY, 02.05.2019
Desk Analysis: Republican President Donald Trump's consistent unpopularity since day one has haunted the "Grand Old Party" going into the 2020 Presidential Election. The ruling Republican party are defending against a resurgent Democratic party that could flip control to their side for the first time in four years by having a net gain from the previous election of 43 electoral votes. Both parties are currently involved in a nomination process, with Republicans extremely likely to re-nominate President Trump for re-election, and Democrats dealing with an open-seat battle for their nomination. While the on-going unpopularity of the President, the national environment, and the structural presidential year advantages favor the Democratic candidate flipping control, the extremely likely incumbency status, history, and the economic environment favor the Republican candidate holding on. As of January 2019, With 99 electoral votes up for grabs, there's a chance of anywhere between 232 to 331 electoral votes for the blue team with 232 expected to go to them, or between 207 to 306 electoral votes for the red team with 306 expected to go to them. That means we could see the Democratic candidate flip anywhere between just 5 net electoral votes up to as many as 104.