Democratic
43.4%
Katie Hobbs
Republican
37.3%
Andy Biggs
Margin
D+6.1
Leader: Katie Hobbs
Polls in aggregate
3
Individual polls — trend line appears once more data is available
Current margin
D+6.1
3 polls · Last updated May 7, 2026
| Pollster | Grade | Hobbs | Biggs | Margin | Sample | Pop. | Recency |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noble Predictive Insights | C | 41.0% | 37.0% | D+4.0 | 996 | Registered Voters | 84d / 0.02 |
| TIPP Insights | C | 48.0% | 38.0% | D+10.0 | 1,159 | Likely Voters | 98d / 0.01 |
| Noble Predictive Insights | C | 42.0% | 37.0% | D+5.0 | 1,023 | Registered Voters | 155d / 0.00 |
