The Projection DeskThe Projection Desk
HomeForecastsNational PollsState PollsAbout
The Projection DeskThe Projection Desk

Precision-first polling aggregation and election forecasting. Built to measure elections as accurately as possible.

Platform

  • National Average
  • State Polls
  • Forecasts

Resources

  • About
  • Twitter
  • Instagram

© 2026 The Projection Desk. Data for informational purposes only.

Not affiliated with any campaign, party, or pollster.

2026 Election · Live Polling Data

See who's likely to win the elections that matter

Projection Desk transforms every credible poll into transparent, data-driven forecasts for the presidency, Congress, governor's races, and more so you can understand where every race stands.

National Polling Average

2026 Generic Ballot

D+5.8
Democrats

47.3%

Republicans

41.5%

Margin: +5.8 D
+1.2 vs. last week

As of Sep 12, 2026 · Weighted average

Generic Ballot Trend

National generic congressional ballot over time — Democrats vs. Republicans

Presidential Approval Rating

Trump Approval

Net 14.8
Approve

41.6%

Disapprove

56.4%

Net: -14.8
+0.5 vs. last week

As of Sep 12, 2026 · Weighted average

Approval Trend

Trump approval vs. disapproval over time

Senate Forecast

Official Senate race forecasts by state

Safe D (> D+10)
Likely D (D+5–10)
Lean D (D+0.1–5)
Even
Lean R (R+0.1–5)
Likely R (R+5–10)
Safe R (> R+10)
No race

Governors Forecast

Official Governor race forecasts by state

Safe D (> D+10)
Likely D (D+5–10)
Lean D (D+0.1–5)
Even
Lean R (R+0.1–5)
Likely R (R+5–10)
Safe R (> R+10)
No race

Senate State Polls

Senate races with the most polling activity

All races

TX

Texas Senate

Dem

47.2%

Margin

D+1.4

Rep

45.9%

Leader: James Talarico · 20 polls

NC

North Carolina Senate

Dem

50.8%

Margin

D+9.5

Rep

41.3%

Leader: Roy Cooper · 18 polls

MI

Michigan Senate

Dem

45.7%

Margin

R+1.9

Rep

47.5%

Leader: Mike Rogers · 13 polls

FL

Florida Senate

Dem

42.3%

Margin

R+5.2

Rep

47.5%

Leader: Ashley Moody · 12 polls

Governors State Polls

Governor races with the most polling activity

All races

TX

Texas Governor

Dem

45.1%

Margin

R+3.7

Rep

48.8%

Leader: Greg Abbott · 19 polls

FL

Florida Governor

Dem

42.3%

Margin

R+0.4

Rep

42.7%

Leader: Byron Donalds · 12 polls

MI

Michigan Governor

Dem

49.3%

Margin

D+5.4

Rep

43.9%

Leader: Jocelyn Benson · 12 polls

NY

New York Governor

Dem

49.0%

Margin

D+10.4

Rep

38.6%

Leader: Kathy Hochul · 12 polls