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© 2026 The Projection Desk. Data for informational purposes only.

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State Polls

Polling averages for 2026 U.S. Senate and gubernatorial races by state.

2026 U.S. Senate Polling

Active races

16

Total polls

100

Senate Race Overview

AK

Alaska Senate

Dem

46.7%

Margin

D+1.0

Rep

45.6%

Leader: Mary Peltola · 7 polls

AR

Arkansas Senate

Dem

36.0%

Margin

R+22.0

Rep

58.0%

Leader: Tom Cotton · 1 polls

FL

Florida Senate

Dem

42.3%

Margin

R+5.2

Rep

47.5%

Leader: Ashley Moody · 12 polls

GA

Georgia Senate

Dem

51.5%

Margin

D+8.5

Rep

43.0%

Leader: Jon Ossoff · 5 polls

IA

Iowa Senate

Dem

47.8%

Margin

D+1.4

Rep

46.4%

Leader: Josh Turek · 7 polls

ID

Idaho Senate

Dem

22.8%

Margin

R+22.2

Rep

45.0%

Leader: Kurt Alme · 3 polls

MA

Massachusetts Senate

Dem

51.8%

Margin

D+19.2

Rep

32.6%

Leader: Ed Markey · 5 polls

ME

Maine Senate

Dem

49.0%

Margin

D+3.0

Rep

46.0%

Leader: Troy Jackson · 1 polls

MI

Michigan Senate

Dem

46.1%

Margin

D+2.9

Rep

43.2%

Leader: Abdul El-Sayed · 10 polls

MS

Mississippi Senate

Dem

39.0%

Margin

R+3.0

Rep

42.0%

Leader: Cindy Hyde-Smith · 1 polls

NC

North Carolina Senate

Dem

48.6%

Margin

D+6.3

Rep

42.3%

Leader: Roy Cooper · 14 polls

NH

New Hampshire Senate

Dem

46.1%

Margin

D+3.6

Rep

42.5%

Leader: Chris Pappas · 8 polls

OH

Ohio Senate

Dem

48.0%

Margin

D+1.2

Rep

46.7%

Leader: Sherrod Brown · 9 polls

RI

Rhode Island Senate

Dem

52.0%

Margin

D+17.0

Rep

35.0%

Leader: Jack Reed · 1 polls

SD

South Dakota Senate

Dem

23.0%

Margin

R+20.0

Rep

43.0%

Leader: Mike Rounds · 1 polls

TX

Texas Senate

Dem

46.2%

Margin

D+0.3

Rep

45.8%

Leader: James Talarico · 15 polls

2026 U.S. Gubernatorial Polling

Active races

18

Total polls

99

Governor Race Overview

AZ

Arizona Governor

Dem

43.4%

Margin

D+6.1

Rep

37.3%

Leader: Katie Hobbs · 3 polls

CA

California Governor

Dem

59.3%

Margin

D+24.5

Rep

34.8%

Leader: Xavier Becerra · 4 polls

FL

Florida Governor

Dem

42.3%

Margin

R+0.4

Rep

42.7%

Leader: Byron Donalds · 12 polls

GA

Georgia Governor

Dem

47.7%

Margin

D+2.6

Rep

45.2%

Leader: Keisha Lance Bottoms · 5 polls

IA

Iowa Governor

Dem

50.2%

Margin

D+5.5

Rep

44.7%

Leader: Rob Sand · 4 polls

MA

Massachusetts Governor

Dem

52.9%

Margin

D+21.2

Rep

31.6%

Leader: Maura Healey · 5 polls

ME

Maine Governor

Dem

53.9%

Margin

D+12.8

Rep

41.1%

Leader: Hannah Pingree · 2 polls

MI

Michigan Governor

Dem

48.6%

Margin

D+10.6

Rep

38.0%

Leader: Jocelyn Benson · 9 polls

NE

Nebraska Governor

Dem

38.0%

Margin

D+5.0

Rep

33.0%

Leader: Lynne Walz · 1 polls

NH

New Hampshire Governor

Dem

38.1%

Margin

R+6.5

Rep

44.5%

Leader: Kelly Ayotte · 4 polls

NV

Nevada Governor

Dem

46.8%

Margin

R+3.0

Rep

49.8%

Leader: Joe Lombardo · 4 polls

NY

New York Governor

Dem

49.1%

Margin

D+11.9

Rep

37.2%

Leader: Kathy Hochul · 11 polls

OH

Ohio Governor

Dem

47.4%

Margin

D+1.4

Rep

46.1%

Leader: Amy Acton · 8 polls

OR

Oregon Governor

Dem

44.1%

Margin

R+3.6

Rep

47.7%

Leader: Christine Drazan · 3 polls

PA

Pennsylvania Governor

Dem

52.4%

Margin

D+16.8

Rep

35.6%

Leader: Josh Shapiro · 8 polls

TN

Tennessee Governor

Dem

27.0%

Margin

R+24.0

Rep

51.0%

Leader: Marsha Blackburn · 1 polls

TX

Texas Governor

Dem

42.3%

Margin

R+7.8

Rep

50.1%

Leader: Greg Abbott · 14 polls

VT

Vermont Governor

Dem

27.0%

Margin

R+15.0

Rep

42.0%

Leader: Phil Scott · 1 polls