Democratic
59.3%
Xavier Becerra
Republican
34.8%
Steve Hilton
Margin
D+24.5
Leader: Xavier Becerra
Polls in aggregate
4
Current margin
D+24.5
4 polls · Last updated Jul 6, 2026 · Weighted aggregate trend
| Pollster | Grade | Becerra | Hilton | Margin | Sample | Pop. | Recency |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Institute of California | A- | 61.0% | 36.0% | D+25.0 | 1,003 | Likely Voters | 27d / 0.27 |
| Kreate Strategies | C | 58.0% | 33.0% | D+25.0 | 900 | Registered Voters | 44d / 0.11 |
| University of California Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies | B+ | 52.0% | 31.0% | D+21.0 | 8,578 | Registered Voters | 69d / 0.03 |
| University of Southern California | C | 58.0% | 35.0% |
| D+23.0 |
| 735 |
| Likely Voters |
| 66d / 0.04 |
