Democratic
55.7%
Xavier Becerra
Republican
36.6%
Steve Hilton
Margin
D+19.1
Leader: Xavier Becerra
Polls in aggregate
5
Current margin
D+19.1
5 polls · Last updated Aug 9, 2026 · Weighted aggregate trend
| Pollster | Grade | Becerra | Hilton | Margin | Sample | Pop. | Recency |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of California Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies | B+ | 55.0% | 37.0% | D+18.0 | 2,310 | Likely Voters | 38d / 0.15 |
| Public Policy Institute of California | A- | 61.0% | 36.0% | D+25.0 | 1,003 | Likely Voters | 72d / 0.03 |
| Kreate Strategies | C | 58.0% | 33.0% | D+25.0 | 900 | Registered Voters | 90d / 0.01 |
| University of California Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies |
| B+ |
| 52.0% |
| 31.0% |
| D+21.0 |
| 8,578 |
| Registered Voters |
| 114d / 0.00 |
| University of Southern California | C | 58.0% | 35.0% | D+23.0 | 735 | Likely Voters | 111d / 0.00 |
