Democratic
38.1%
Cinde Warmington
Republican
44.5%
Kelly Ayotte
Margin
R+6.5
Leader: Kelly Ayotte
Polls in aggregate
4
Current margin
R+6.5
4 polls · Last updated Jun 25, 2026 · Weighted aggregate trend
| Pollster | Grade | Warmington | Ayotte | Margin | Sample | Pop. | Recency |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire | B+ | 39.0% | 44.0% | R+5.0 | 2,221 | Likely Voters | 39d / 0.15 |
| St. Anselm | C | 37.0% | 45.0% | R+8.0 | 1,614 | Registered Voters | 35d / 0.18 |
| University of New Hampshire | B+ | 39.0% | 47.0% | R+8.0 | 1,117 | Likely Voters | 101d / 0.01 |
| St. Anselm | C | 39.0% | 46.0% | R+7.0 | 1,491 | Registered Voters | 134d / 0.00 |
