Democratic
46.8%
Aaron Ford
Republican
49.8%
Joe Lombardo
Margin
R+3.0
Leader: Joe Lombardo
Polls in aggregate
4
Current margin
R+3.0
4 polls · Last updated Jul 12, 2026 · Weighted aggregate trend
| Pollster | Grade | Ford | Lombardo | Margin | Sample | Pop. | Recency |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wedgewood Polls | C | 47.0% | 50.0% | R+3.0 | 700 | Likely Voters | 64d / 0.04 |
| Global Strategy Group/GBAO (Navigator Research) | C | 42.0% | 45.0% | R+3.0 | 700 | Likely Voters | 128d / 0.00 |
| Noble Predictive Insights | C | 38.0% | 39.0% | R+1.0 | 845 | Registered Voters | 185d / 0.00 |
| Hart Research Associates | A- | 43.0% | 46.0% | R+3.0 | 800 | Likely Voters | 211d / 0.00 |
