Democratic
52.4%
Josh Shapiro
Republican
35.6%
Stacy Garrity
Margin
D+16.8
Leader: Josh Shapiro
Polls in aggregate
8
Current margin
D+16.8
8 polls · Last updated Jul 13, 2026 · Weighted aggregate trend
| Pollster | Grade | Shapiro | Garrity | Margin | Sample | Pop. | Recency |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac University | B | 53.0% | 40.0% | D+13.0 | 895 | Registered Voters | 18d / 0.41 |
| Bravo Group | C | 54.0% | 29.0% | D+25.0 | 644 | Likely Voters | 38d / 0.15 |
| Franklin & Marshall College | B+ | 50.0% | 28.0% | D+22.0 | 546 | Registered Voters | 48d / 0.09 |
| MAD Global Strategy | C |
| 48.0% |
| 31.0% |
| D+17.0 |
| 600 |
| Likely Voters |
| 49d / 0.09 |
| Bravo Group | C | 53.0% | 29.0% | D+24.0 | 684 | Likely Voters | 68d / 0.03 |
| Susquehanna Polling | B+ | 58.0% | 36.0% | D+22.0 | 700 | Likely Voters | 128d / 0.00 |
| Franklin & Marshall College | B+ | 48.0% | 28.0% | D+20.0 | 834 | Registered Voters | 156d / 0.00 |
| Quinnipiac University | B | 55.0% | 37.0% | D+18.0 | 836 | Registered Voters | 158d / 0.00 |
