Democratic
42.3%
Gina Hinojosa
Republican
50.1%
Greg Abbott
Margin
R+7.8
Leader: Greg Abbott
Polls in aggregate
14
Current margin
R+7.8
14 polls · Last updated Jun 27, 2026 · Weighted aggregate trend
| Pollster | Grade | Hinojosa | Abbott | Margin | Sample | Pop. | Recency |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siena College | A- | 44.0% | 51.0% | R+7.0 | 656 | Likely Voters | 36d / 0.17 |
| SoCal Strategies | C | 42.0% | 54.0% | R+12.0 | 800 | Likely Voters | 38d / 0.15 |
| YouGov | C | 40.0% | 47.0% | R+7.0 | 1,200 | Registered Voters | 51d / 0.08 |
| Siena College | A- |
| 43.0% |
| 49.0% |
| R+6.0 |
| 807 |
| Likely Voters |
| 57d / 0.06 |
| Quantus Insights | C | 41.0% | 49.0% | R+8.0 | 800 | Likely Voters | 56d / 0.06 |
| Slingshot Strategies | C | 41.0% | 46.0% | R+5.0 | 1,670 | Likely Voters | 63d / 0.04 |
| Public Policy Polling | C | 44.0% | 48.0% | R+4.0 | 643 | Registered Voters | 68d / 0.04 |
| Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research | C | 43.0% | 49.0% | R+6.0 | 1,223 | Likely Voters | 91d / 0.01 |
| Slingshot Strategies | C | 43.0% | 48.0% | R+5.0 | 1,018 | Likely Voters | 102d / 0.01 |
| YouGov | C | 38.0% | 44.0% | R+6.0 | 1,200 | Registered Voters | 105d / 0.01 |
| University of Texas at Tyler Center | C | 41.0% | 49.0% | R+8.0 | 1,117 | Registered Voters | 162d / 0.00 |
| GBAO | C | 43.0% | 46.0% | R+3.0 | 1,000 | Likely Voters | 180d / 0.00 |
| University of Houston | C | 42.0% | 49.0% | R+7.0 | 1,502 | Likely Voters | 185d / 0.00 |
| Emerson College | B+ | 42.0% | 50.0% | R+8.0 | 1,165 | Registered Voters | 199d / 0.00 |
