Democratic
45.1%
Gina Hinojosa
Republican
48.8%
Greg Abbott
Margin
R+3.7
Leader: Greg Abbott
Polls in aggregate
19
Current margin
R+3.7
19 polls · Last updated Aug 10, 2026 · Weighted aggregate trend
| Pollster | Grade | Hinojosa | Abbott | Margin | Sample | Pop. | Recency |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | B+ | 45.0% | 49.0% | R+4.0 | 1,000 | Likely Voters | 80d / 0.02 |
| Cygnal Political | A- | 46.0% | 49.0% | R+3.0 | 800 | Likely Voters | 90d / 0.01 |
| YouGov | C | 43.0% | 49.0% | R+6.0 | 1,200 | Likely Voters | 92d / 0.01 |
| Siena College | A- |
| 45.0% |
| 46.0% |
| R+1.0 |
| 619 |
| Likely Voters |
| 92d / 0.01 |
| Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research | B+ | 49.0% | 50.0% | R+1.0 | 1,006 | Registered Voters | 95d / 0.01 |
| Siena College | A- | 44.0% | 51.0% | R+7.0 | 656 | Likely Voters | 127d / 0.00 |
| SoCal Strategies | C | 42.0% | 54.0% | R+12.0 | 800 | Likely Voters | 129d / 0.00 |
| YouGov | C | 40.0% | 47.0% | R+7.0 | 1,200 | Registered Voters | 142d / 0.00 |
| Siena College | A- | 43.0% | 49.0% | R+6.0 | 807 | Likely Voters | 148d / 0.00 |
| Quantus Insights | C | 41.0% | 49.0% | R+8.0 | 800 | Likely Voters | 147d / 0.00 |
| Slingshot Strategies | C | 41.0% | 46.0% | R+5.0 | 1,670 | Likely Voters | 154d / 0.00 |
| Public Policy Polling | C | 44.0% | 48.0% | R+4.0 | 643 | Registered Voters | 159d / 0.00 |
| Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research | C | 43.0% | 49.0% | R+6.0 | 1,223 | Likely Voters | 182d / 0.00 |
| Slingshot Strategies | C | 43.0% | 48.0% | R+5.0 | 1,018 | Likely Voters | 193d / 0.00 |
| YouGov | C | 38.0% | 44.0% | R+6.0 | 1,200 | Registered Voters | 196d / 0.00 |
| University of Texas at Tyler Center | C | 41.0% | 49.0% | R+8.0 | 1,117 | Registered Voters | 253d / 0.00 |
| GBAO | C | 43.0% | 46.0% | R+3.0 | 1,000 | Likely Voters | 271d / 0.00 |
| University of Houston | C | 42.0% | 49.0% | R+7.0 | 1,502 | Likely Voters | 276d / 0.00 |
| Emerson College | B+ | 42.0% | 50.0% | R+8.0 | 1,165 | Registered Voters | 290d / 0.00 |
