Democratic
44.5%
Francesca Hong
Republican
43.5%
Tom Tiffany
Margin
D+1.0
Leader: Francesca Hong
Polls in aggregate
5
Current margin
D+1.0
5 polls · Last updated Jul 24, 2026 · Weighted aggregate trend
| Pollster | Grade | Hong | Tiffany | Margin | Sample | Pop. | Recency |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RMG Research | C | 44.0% | 43.0% | D+1.0 | 800 | Registered Voters | 98d / 0.01 |
| Marquette Law School | A | 44.0% | 44.0% | EVEN | 695 | Likely Voters | 108d / 0.01 |
| Wedgewood Polls | C | 47.0% | 44.0% | D+3.0 | 707 | Likely Voters | 117d / 0.00 |
| TIPP Insights | C | 40.0% | 43.0% | R+3.0 | 1,168 | Likely Voters | 226d / 0.00 |
| Patriot Polling |
| C |
| 42.0% |
| 46.0% |
| R+4.0 |
| 812 |
| Likely Voters |
| 229d / 0.00 |
