Democratic
44.6%
Francesca Hong
Republican
43.5%
Tom Tiffany
Margin
D+1.0
Leader: Francesca Hong
Polls in aggregate
5
Current margin
D+1.0
5 polls · Last updated Jul 24, 2026 · Weighted aggregate trend
| Pollster | Grade | Hong | Tiffany | Margin | Sample | Pop. | Recency |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RMG Research | C | 44.0% | 43.0% | D+1.0 | 800 | Registered Voters | 53d / 0.07 |
| Marquette Law School | A | 44.0% | 44.0% | EVEN | 695 | Likely Voters | 63d / 0.04 |
| Wedgewood Polls | C | 47.0% | 44.0% | D+3.0 | 707 | Likely Voters | 72d / 0.03 |
| TIPP Insights | C | 40.0% | 43.0% | R+3.0 | 1,168 | Likely Voters | 181d / 0.00 |
| Patriot Polling |
| C |
| 42.0% |
| 46.0% |
| R+4.0 |
| 812 |
| Likely Voters |
| 184d / 0.00 |
