Democratic
36.0%
Hallie Shoffner
Republican
58.0%
Tom Cotton
Margin
R+22.0
Leader: Tom Cotton
Polls in aggregate
1
Individual polls — trend line appears once more data is available
Current margin
R+22.0
1 poll · Last updated Feb 9, 2026
| Pollster | Grade | Shoffner | Cotton | Margin | Sample | Pop. | Recency |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GrayHouse | C | 36.0% | 58.0% | R+22.0 | 550 | Likely Voters | 171d / 0.00 |
