Democratic
47.8%
Josh Turek
Republican
46.4%
Ashley Hinson
Margin
D+1.4
Leader: Josh Turek
Polls in aggregate
7
Current margin
D+1.4
7 polls · Last updated Jun 27, 2026 · Weighted aggregate trend
| Pollster | Grade | Turek | Hinson | Margin | Sample | Pop. | Recency |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research | B+ | 50.0% | 46.0% | D+4.0 | 1,003 | Registered Voters | 34d / 0.18 |
| Siena College | A- | 46.0% | 48.0% | R+2.0 | 600 | Likely Voters | 38d / 0.15 |
| Global Strategy Group/GBAO (Navigator Research) | C | 47.0% | 45.0% | D+2.0 | 1,000 | Likely Voters | 50d / 0.09 |
| Public Policy Polling |
| 46.0% |
| 46.0% |
| EVEN |
| 557 |
| Registered Voters |
| 56d / 0.06 |
| Echelon Insights | C | 46.0% | 45.0% | D+1.0 | 377 | Likely Voters | 114d / 0.00 |
| GBAO | C | 43.0% | 47.0% | R+4.0 | 1,200 | Likely Voters | 138d / 0.00 |
| Change Research | C | 41.0% | 44.0% | R+3.0 | 1,108 | Likely Voters | 201d / 0.00 |
