Democratic
51.8%
Ed Markey
Republican
32.6%
John Deaton
Margin
D+19.2
Leader: Ed Markey
Polls in aggregate
5
Current margin
D+19.2
5 polls · Last updated Jun 23, 2026 · Weighted aggregate trend
| Pollster | Grade | Markey | Deaton | Margin | Sample | Pop. | Recency |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire | B+ | 50.0% | 34.0% | D+16.0 | 618 | Likely Voters | 39d / 0.15 |
| Suffolk University | B+ | 55.0% | 30.0% | D+25.0 | 500 | Registered Voters | 49d / 0.09 |
| University of New Hampshire | B+ | 55.0% | 32.0% | D+23.0 | 603 | Likely Voters | 102d / 0.01 |
| University of New Hampshire | B+ | 56.0% | 27.0% | D+29.0 | 616 | Likely Voters |
| 165d / 0.00 |
| Cygnal Political | A- | 54.0% | 30.0% | D+24.0 | 800 | Likely Voters | 187d / 0.00 |