Democratic
46.1%
Abdul El-Sayed
Republican
43.2%
Mike Rogers
Margin
D+2.9
Leader: Abdul El-Sayed
Polls in aggregate
10
Current margin
D+2.9
10 polls · Last updated Jun 30, 2026 · Weighted aggregate trend
| Pollster | Grade | El-Sayed | Rogers | Margin | Sample | Pop. | Recency |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quantus Insights | C | 45.0% | 44.0% | D+1.0 | 947 | Likely Voters | 30d / 0.23 |
| Wedgewood Polls | C | 49.0% | 44.0% | D+5.0 | 602 | Likely Voters | 33d / 0.20 |
| Mitchell Research | C | 47.0% | 42.0% | D+5.0 | 827 | Likely Voters | 47d / 0.10 |
| Zenith Research | C |
| 45.0% |
| 42.0% |
| D+3.0 |
| 602 |
| Likely Voters |
| 47d / 0.10 |
| Tulchin Research | C | 46.0% | 41.0% | D+5.0 | 500 | Likely Voters | 56d / 0.06 |
| TIPP Insights | C | 43.0% | 42.0% | D+1.0 | 1,163 | Likely Voters | 69d / 0.03 |
| Mitchell Research | C | 41.0% | 42.0% | R+1.0 | 607 | Likely Voters | 86d / 0.01 |
| Glengariff Group | C | 40.0% | 45.0% | R+5.0 | 600 | Likely Voters | 91d / 0.01 |
| Emerson College | B+ | 43.0% | 43.0% | EVEN | 1,000 | Likely Voters | 186d / 0.00 |
| Glengariff Group | C | 42.0% | 48.0% | R+6.0 | 600 | Likely Voters | 206d / 0.00 |
