Democratic
45.7%
Abdul El-Sayed
Republican
47.5%
Mike Rogers
Margin
R+1.9
Leader: Mike Rogers
Polls in aggregate
13
Current margin
R+1.9
13 polls · Last updated Aug 10, 2026 · Weighted aggregate trend
| Pollster | Grade | El-Sayed | Rogers | Margin | Sample | Pop. | Recency |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research | B+ | 47.0% | 51.0% | R+4.0 | 1,006 | Registered Voters | 36d / 0.17 |
| EPIC-MRA | C | 43.0% | 46.0% | R+3.0 | 600 | Likely Voters | 47d / 0.10 |
| Mitchell Research | C | 45.0% | 45.0% | EVEN | 672 | Likely Voters | 46d / 0.10 |
| Quantus Insights | C |
| 45.0% |
| 44.0% |
| D+1.0 |
| 947 |
| Likely Voters |
| 75d / 0.02 |
| Wedgewood Polls | C | 49.0% | 44.0% | D+5.0 | 602 | Likely Voters | 78d / 0.02 |
| Mitchell Research | C | 47.0% | 42.0% | D+5.0 | 827 | Likely Voters | 93d / 0.01 |
| Zenith Research | C | 45.0% | 42.0% | D+3.0 | 602 | Likely Voters | 92d / 0.01 |
| Tulchin Research | C | 46.0% | 41.0% | D+5.0 | 500 | Likely Voters | 102d / 0.01 |
| TIPP Insights | C | 43.0% | 42.0% | D+1.0 | 1,163 | Likely Voters | 114d / 0.00 |
| Mitchell Research | C | 41.0% | 42.0% | R+1.0 | 607 | Likely Voters | 132d / 0.00 |
| Glengariff Group | C | 40.0% | 45.0% | R+5.0 | 600 | Likely Voters | 136d / 0.00 |
| Emerson College | B+ | 43.0% | 43.0% | EVEN | 1,000 | Likely Voters | 231d / 0.00 |
| Glengariff Group | C | 42.0% | 48.0% | R+6.0 | 600 | Likely Voters | 252d / 0.00 |
