The Projection DeskThe Projection Desk
HomeForecastsNational PollsState PollsAbout
The Projection DeskThe Projection Desk

Precision-first polling aggregation and election forecasting. Built to measure elections as accurately as possible.

Platform

  • National Average
  • State Polls
  • Forecasts

Resources

  • About
  • Twitter
  • Instagram

© 2026 The Projection Desk. Data for informational purposes only.

Not affiliated with any campaign, party, or pollster.

Home / Senate / North Carolina

North Carolina Senate

Roy Cooper (D) vs Michael Whatley (R)

Democratic

48.6%

Roy Cooper

Republican

42.3%

Michael Whatley

Margin

D+6.3

Leader: Roy Cooper

Polls in aggregate

14

North Carolina · Senate Polling Trend

Current margin

D+6.3

7dSteady
14dSteady
30d2.8

14 polls · Last updated Jul 11, 2026 · Weighted aggregate trend

Poll Weight Breakdown

PollsterGradeCooperWhatleyMarginSamplePop.Recency
Public Policy PollingC48.0%44.0%D+4.0759Registered Voters19d / 0.40
Siena CollegeA-50.0%43.0%D+7.0601Likely Voters38d / 0.15
YouGovC48.0%34.0%D+14.0905Likely Voters54d / 0.07
Harper PollingC
50.0%
39.0%
D+11.0
600
Likely Voters
80d / 0.02
Change ResearchC49.0%42.0%D+7.0957Likely Voters84d / 0.02
Opinion DiagnosticsC50.0%41.0%D+9.0830Registered Voters98d / 0.01
Quantus InsightsC49.0%44.0%D+5.0987Likely Voters120d / 0.00
High Point UniversityC50.0%42.0%D+8.0703Likely Voters120d / 0.00
Harper PollingC49.0%41.0%D+8.0600Likely Voters129d / 0.00
YouGovC48.0%34.0%D+14.0872Likely Voters138d / 0.00
Public Policy PollingC47.0%44.0%D+3.0556Registered Voters138d / 0.00
Change ResearchC50.0%40.0%D+10.01,069Registered Voters177d / 0.00
TIPP InsightsC48.0%24.0%D+24.01,512Registered Voters197d / 0.00
Change ResearchC47.0%42.0%D+5.01,105Likely Voters204d / 0.00